The National Democratic Congress (NDC), yesterday kick started the process of electing legislators to represent the party in Parliament for the 2017 Parliament with the opening of nomination, this has put a spotlight on some candidates.
Already, many people are looking into the crystal ball and making predictions, as to who will fall and who will be left standing, after the November 7, primaries.
The local champion, as far as polls in Ghana are concern, the Managing Editor of the Daily Dispatch, Ben Ephson, has also as expected, started making his predictions.
Predicting outcomes of any election, is as difficult as predicting the weather, even polls conducted within just a few days of election, must be taken with a grain of salt; and the name of that grain is margin of error.
Ben Ephson’s agenda towards some of the persons, who have expressed interest to contest, is amusingly, sad and pathetic, but unknown to him; nobody will buy into this orchestrated propaganda of calumny against them.
Having listened to him and read about what he is reported to have said on some radio stations, I cannot help, but weep for the man, who is gradually eroding the gains he has made over the years.
Speaking on Kasapa FM on Wednesday, Mr. Ephson stated that daughter of former President, Jerry John Rawlings, Dr. Ezenator Rawlings, and Deputy Communications Minister,
Felix Ofosu Kwakye, who are expected to contest for Korley Klottey and Ablekuma North respectively, would not win if they pass through the primaries.
What Ben Ephson needs to know is that, nothing stays the same forever; in fact the only permanent thing in life is change.
If he thinks that, mounting media propaganda against the former President, Jerry John Rawlings, through the daughter, will make the daughter unpopular, then he is making a costly mistake.
Felix Ofosu Kwakye and Ablekuma North
As a pollster, his research, should have informed him that since 1996, the National Democratic Congress, has eaten into the votes of the New Patriotic Party (NPP).
The NDC’s performance in election after election has revealed that with a credible, trusted and formidable candidate the party is sure to snatch the seat from the NPP.
Everybody who followed the 2012 parliamentary election will tell you that, the NDC candidate, Ras Mubarack, lost that seat, because the seat was his to lose.
His demeanor pushed people, who would otherwise have helped him win the seat away.
He did not listen to wise counsel, the elders in the party in the Constituency stayed away from his campaign. He was not serious of winning that seat, he will ride horse through the constituency, during the campaign annoying and angering the constituents, how were you expecting such a man to win that seat.
His failure and shortcomings should not be extended to affect the chances of Felix Ofosu Kwakye, who has demonstrated that, he is focused and his eyes are set on the goal ahead.
When the names of people interested in contesting were making the rounds, his name was never mentioned, this is an indication that, he wanted to cover the ground and have every I dotted and every T crossed, before finally announcing himself to the constituents.
All he has to do to win that seat, is to avoid the mistakes Ras Mubarak made, the seat is ripe for the taking.
The incumbent lost in the NPP primaries, because the people were fed up with him, his performance has been nothing good to write home about, it explains why the delegates of his party, gave him the matching orders.
Felix Ofosu Kwakye is the best hope for the NDC, the 2016 parliamentary election is the party’s to lose. The NPP is sinking and losing popularity in that Constituency.
Any scientific research, without any ulterior motive will clearly conclude that, Felix will beat Nana Akua Owusu-Afriyie of the New Patriotic Party, any day anytime.
Dr. Ezenator Rawlings and Korle Klottey
Let assume that, the Korle Klottey seat, is currently held by the NPP, now think about the current in-fighting in the party among the supporters loyal to Philip Addisson and Nii Noi Nortey, and tell me that, any formidable candidate from NDC, will not beat, whoever finally emerges to lead the NPP.
I do not need a soothsayer or a pollster to tell me that, NPP is far from capturing that seat from the NDC. Even with the shambolic performance of the incumbent, NII Armah Ashittey, the NDC, still went ahead to beat a united NPP in 2012.
The credibility of the NPP candidate Nii Noi Nortey is being questioned, this is aside the fact that, Philip Addison is also behaving like a spoilt child, who is refusing to admit that, he has lost.
In 2000, with the Monica Lewinsky sex scandal having nearly marred the enviable record of Bill Clinton, his vice-president, Al-Gore, who was then the candidate of the Democratic party in the United States of America (USA), decided upon a bad advice to keep President Clinton away from his campaign, the rest they say is history.
In 2008, Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo, rather also chose to sideline President John Agyekum Kufuor, from actively taking part in his campaign. He felt his popularity was enough to win him the election, he went he saw and was defeated fair and square.
Ben Ephson is quoted as saying, “On Dr. Rawlings, her father did some things in the past which are likely to haunt her if former President Rawlings actively campaigns for her”.
President Jerry John Rawlings is the most popular politician in recent history, he is still capable of winning any election in any part of the country, talk much less of Greater Accra.
The man is seen more like a Ga than an Ewe that we know him to be. He speaks Ga and has always identified with them. The daughter, could not have picked a better Constituency than, Korle Klottey.
The easiest road for the girl is to have the father lead her campaign. This is a man, who will go to the Mandela Park, around the Osu Castle, and enjoy food with the people.
President Rawlings, is loved by the Gas, he has always respected them, and they will reward him anytime.
I do not know the basis for Mr Ephson’s conclusion that, should Mr Rawlings campaign for the daughter, she will lose, which is currently held by the NDC.
I cannot claim to have experience in polls, but I am smart enough to see beyond any numbers put across by someone, who has a hidden agenda or pent up anger, that is blinding him from the realities on the ground.